Researcher: Jessica Cherry
Funding Source: JAMSTEC
Collaborators: Stephen Déry (UNBC), Bruno Tremblay (McGill), Marc Stieglitz (Georgia
Tech), Gavin Gong (Columbia University), John Walsh (IARC), Sarah Byam (IARC)
The outcome of this project will be a long-term daily product of snowfall (station-based and distributed) for the pan-Arctic for use in change detection.
We collected a large database of daily snow depth records from landmasses north of 44°N. A reconstructed snowfall product was developed using a simple nudging technique in the NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office catchment-based Land Surface Model (LSM). This station-based reconstructed snowfall product is now being spatially distributed using multiple models for comparison. These include a statistical optimal interpolation, the Micromet model, and the Georgia Tech snow model.
Anticipated results include a station-based and gridded pan-Arctic daily snowfall product from 1936 onward. This will support detection and attribution of changes in the hydrologic cycle in the Northern Hemisphere. This product may also be used determine long-term changes in soil temperatures, as the model ground thermodynamics scheme solves for a ground temperature profile. Both snow cover and the surface energy balance contribute to the evolution of ground temperatures. In regions with frozen ground, changes in soil temperatures may also lead to changes in subsurface water storage.
Long-term variability of the atmosphere and the land-surface are inherently tied to the hydrologic cycle, particularly in cold regions. The estimation of snowfall and snow distributions in Alaska and the pan-Arctic help to integrate the study of both the atmosphere and land-surface. The project contributes to Themes 2, 3, and 4 of the IARC-JAMSTEC Collaboration Plan.