John Walsh | President's Professor of Climate Change & Chief Scientist

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John Walsh President's Professor of Climate Change & Chief Scientist phone: 907-474-2677 email: jwalshiarc.uaf.edu office: Akasofu 405 International Arctic Research Center 930 Koyukuk Drive P.O. Box 757340 Fairbanks, Alaska 99775-7340

Education

Ph.D., Meteorology, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
B.A., Mathematics and Computer Science, Dartmouth College

Research Interests

Climate change and meteorology of polar regions
Arctic sea ice
Extreme weather events and impacts

IARC Publications

published or accepted, refereed publications and books

Bhatt, U.S., M.A. Alexander, C. Deser, J.E. Walsh, J.S. Miller, M.S. Timlin, J.D. Scott, R. H. Thomas (2009), The atmospheric response to realistic reduced summer Arctic sea ice anomalies, In: Arctic Sea Ice Decline: Observations, Projections, Mechanisms, and Implications, Geophysical Monograms Serial. edited by E. T. DeWeaver, C. M. Bitz, and L.-B. Tremblay., 180, pp. 91-11, AGU, Washington, D.C..
Roberts, A., J.E. Walsh, L. Hinzman, R. Doescher, A. Sumi, M. Holland, J. Cassano, W. Maslowski, W. Gutowski, J. Hel (2009), Towards a community Arctic System Model, Ice and Climate News, 10, 14-15.
Saito, K., S.S. Marchenko, V.E. Romanovsky, N. Bigelow, K. Yoshikawa, J.E. Walsh (2009), Thermally-Conditioned Paleo-permafrost Variations from Global Climate Modeling, Scientific Online Letters of the Atmosphere, 5, 101-104, doi:10.2151/sola.2009-026.
Walsh, J.E. (2009), A comparison of Arctic and Antarctic climatte change, present and future, Antarctic Science.
Walsh, J.E. (2009), A comparison of Arcic and Antarctic climate change, present and future, Antarctic Science, accepted.
Wu, G. , Z. Schwartz, J.E. Walsh (2009), Towards predicting the impact of climate change on tourism: A weather-resolving climate tourism index, Climatic Change, accepted.
Wang, J., J. Zhang, E. Watanabe, M. Ikeda, K. Mizobata, J.E. Walsh, X. Bai, B. Wu (2009), Is the Dipole Anomaly a major driver to record lows in Arctic summer sea ice extent?, Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L05706, doi:10.1029/2008GL036706.
Yu, G., Z. Schwartz, J.E. Walsh (2009), Effects of climate change on seasonality of weather for tourism in ALaska, Arctic, accepted.
Arendt, A. , J.E. Walsh, W. Harrison (2008), Changes of glaciers and climate in northswestern North America during the late 20th century, Journal of Climate, accepted.
Balshi, M.S., A.D. McGuire, P. Duffy, M. Flannigan, J.E. Walsh, D.W. Kicklighter, J. Melillo (2008), Assissing the response of area burned in westerdn boreal Notrth America using a Multivariate Adaptive Regression splines (MARS) approach, Global Change Biology, 10.111/j.1365-2486.2008.01679.
Balshi, M.S., A.D. McGuire, P. Duffy, M. Flannigan, J.E. Walsh, J. Melillo (2008), Assessing the response of area burned to changing climate in western boreal North America using a Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) approach, Global Change Biology, doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01679.
Fan, X. , J.E. Walsh, J.R. Krieger (2008), A one-year experimental Arctic reanalysis and comparisons with ERA-40 and NCEP/NCAR reanalyses, Geophysical Research Letters, 35(L19811), doi:10.1029/2008GL035110.
McGuire, A.D., J.E. Walsh, J.S. Kimball, J.S. Clein, E. Euskirchen, S. Drobot, U. Herzfeld, J. Maslanik, R. Lammers, M. Rawlins, C. Vörosmarty, T.S. Rupp, W. Wu, M. Calef (2008), The Western Arctic Linkage Experiment (WALE): Overview and synthesis, Earth Interactions, 12(7), 13 pgs, doi:10.1175/2008EI239.1.
PaiMazumder, D. , J.S. Miller, Z. Li, J.E. Walsh, A. Etringer, J. McCreight, T. Zhang, N. Mölders (2008), Evaluation of Community Climate System Model soil temperatures using observations from Russia, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 94, 187-213.
Pickart, R.S., G.W.K. Moore, A.M. McDonald, I.A. Renfrew, J.E. Walsh, W.S. Kessler (2008), Seasonal evolution of Aluetian low pressure systems: Implications for the North Pacific subpolar circulation, Journal of Physical Oceanography, accepted.
Pickart, R.S., G.W.K. Moore, A.M. Macdonald, I.A. Renfrew, J.E. Walsh, W.S. Kessler (2008), Seasonal evolution of Aleutian low pressure systems: Implications for the North Pacific subpolar circulation, Journal of Physical Oceanography, doi: 10.1175/2008JPO3891.
Rauber, R.M., J.E. Walsh, D.J. Charlevoix (2008), Severe and Hazardous Weather: An Introduction to High-Impact Meteorology (3rd Edition), Kendall-Hunt, Dubuque, IA, 672pp..
Rauber, R.M., J.E. Walsh, D.J. Charlevoix (2008), Acting Learning Excersises for Severe and Hazardous Weather: An Introduction to High-Impact Meteorology (3rd Edition), Kendall-Hunt, Dubuque, IA, 178 pp..
Walsh, J.E. (2008), Climate of the arctic marine environment, Ecological Applications, 18, S3-S22, doi:10.1890/06-0503.1.
Walsh, J.E., V.A. Alexeev, E.B. Sparrow (2008), Modeling of Arctic Climate: Fairbanks-Barrow Top of the World Summer School, AGU Atmospheric Science Newsletters(5).
Walsh, J.E., W.L. Chapman, D. Portis (2008), Arctic clouds and radiative fluxes in large-scale atmospheric reanalyses, Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2213.1.
Walsh, J.E., W.L. Chapman, V.E. Romanovsky, J.H. Christensen, M. Stendel (2008), Global climate model performance over Alaska and Greenland, Journal of Climate, 21, 6156-6174.
Zhang, X., M. Ikeda, J.E. Walsh (2008), Arctic sea ice and freshwater fluxes driven by the atmospheric leading mode in a coupled sea ice/ocean model, Journal of Climate, 16.
Chapman, W.L., J.E. Walsh (2007), Simulations of Arctic temperature and pressure by global coupled models, Journal of Climate, 20, 609-632.
Kattsov, V.M., J.E. Walsh, W.L. Chapman, V.A. Govorkova, T. Pavlova, X. Zhang (2007), Simulation and projection of arctic freshwater budget components by the IPCC AR4 Global Climate Models, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 8(3), 571-589.
Kattsov, V., J.E. Walsh, V.A. Govorkova, T. Pavlova, X. Zhang (2007), Arctic Ocean freshwater budget components in simulations with the IPCC AR4 AOGCMs, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 8, 571-589.
PaiMazumder, D. , J.S. Miller, Z. Li, J.E. Walsh, A. Etringer, J. McCreight, T. Zhang, N. Mölders (2007), Evaluation of Community Climate System Model soil temperatures using observations from Russia, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, doi:10.1007/s00704-007-0350-0.
Richter-Menge, J., J.E. Overland, A.Y. Proshutinsky, V.E. Romanovsky, R. Armstrong, J. Morison, S. Nghiem, N. Oberman, D. Perovich, I. Rigor, L. Bengtsson, R. Przybylak, A. Shiklomanov, D.A. Walker, J.E. Walsh (2007), The Poles: Arctic in State of the Climate in 2006, Bulletin of the American Meteorlological Society, 88(6), S62-S71.
Sorteberg, A., V.M. Kattsov, J.E. Walsh, T. Pavlova (2007), The arctic surface energy budget as simulated with the IPCC AR4 AOGCMs, Climate Dynamics, 29(2-3), 131-156, doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0222-9.
Turner, J., J.E. Overland, J.E. Walsh (2007), An Arctic and Antarctic perspective on recent climate change, International Journal of Climatology, 27, 277-293.
Walsh, J.E., W.L. Chapman, V.E. Romanovsky, J.H. Christensen, M. Stendel (2007), Global climate model performance over Alaska and Greenland, Climate, accepted.
Wang, M., J.E. Overland, V.M. Kattsov, J.E. Walsh, X. Zhang, T. Pavlova (2007), Intrinsic versus forced variation in coupled climate model simulations over the Arctic during the 20th Century, Journal of Climate, 20, 1084-1098.
Cellitti, M.P., J.E. Walsh, R.M. Rauber, D. Portis (2006), Extreme cold air outbreaks, the polar vortex and the large-scale circulation, Journal of Geophysical Research (Atmospheres), 111, D02114m, doi:10.1029/2005/JD006273.
McGuire, A.D., F.S. Chapin III, J.E. Walsh, C. Wirth (2006), Integrated regional changes in arctic climate feedbacks: Implications for the global climate system, Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 31, 61-91.
Peterson, B., J. McClelland, M. Holmes, R. Curry, J.E. Walsh, K. Aagaard (2006), Trajectory shifts in the Arctic and subarctic freshwater cycle, Science, 313, 1061-1066, doi: 10.1126/science.1122593.
Vavrus, S.J., J.E. Walsh, W.L. Chapman, D. Portis (2006), The behavior of extreme cold-air-outbreaks under greenhouse warming, International Journal of Climatology, 26, 1133-1147.
Wu, B., J. Wang, J.E. Walsh (2006), Dipole Anomaly in the winter Arctic atmosphere and its association with sea ice motion, Journal of Climate, 19(2), 210-225, doi: 10.1175/JCLI3619.1.
Zhang, X., J.E. Walsh (2006), Toward seasonally ice-covered Arctic Ocean: Scenarios from the IPCC AR4 model simulations, Journal of Climate, 19, 1730-1747.
Zhang, J., J.E. Walsh (2006), Thermodynamic and hydrological impacts of increasing greenness in northern high latitudes, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 7, 1147-1163.
Duffy, P., J.E. Walsh, J.M. Graham, D.H. Mann, T.S. Rupp (2005), Impacts of East Pacific teleconnection on Alaskan fire climate, Ecological Applications, 15(4), 1317-1330.
Murray, C., J.E. Walsh (2005), A model ensemble assessment of the enhancement of Arctic warming by ice retreat, Scientific Online Letters of the Atmosphere, 1, 24-27.
Polyakov, I.V., A. Beszczynska, E. Carmack, I. Dmitrenko, E. Fahrbach, I.E. Frolov, R. Gerdes, E. Hansen, J. Holfort, V.V. Ivanov, M. Johnson, M. Karcher, F. Kauker, J. Morison, K.A. Orvik, U. Schauer, H.L. Simmons, O. Skagseth, V.T. Sokolov, M. Steele, L. Timokhov, D. Walsh, J.E. Walsh (2005), One more step toward a warmer Arctic, Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L17605, doi: 10.1029/2005GL023740.
Polyakov, I.V., U.S. Bhatt, H.L. Simmons, D. Walsh, J.E. Walsh, X. Zhang (2005), Multidecadal variability of North Atlantic temperature and salinity during the Twentieth Century, Journal of Climate, 18(21), 4562-4581.
Walsh, J.E., O. Anisimov, J.O. Hagen, T. Jakobsson, J. Oerelemans, T. Prowse, V.E. Romanovsky, N. Savelieva, M. Serreze, A. Shiklomanov, I. Shiklomanov, S. Solomon (2005), Arctic Climate Assessment (ACIA) : The Cryosphere and Hydrologic Variability, Cambridge University Press, 34.
Walsh, J.E., I. Shapiro, T.L. Shy (2005), On the variability and predictability of daily temperatures in the Arctic, Atmosphere-Ocean, 43, 213-230.
Walsh, J.E., S.J. Vavrus, W.L. Chapman (2005), Summary of a Workshop on Modeling of the Arctic Atmosphere, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 86, 845-852.
Alexander, M.A., U.S. Bhatt, J.E. Walsh, M.S. Timlin, J.S. Miller, J.D. Scott (2004), The atmospheric response to realistic Arctic Sea ice anomalies in an AGCM during winter, Journal of Climate, 17, 890-905.
Mölders, N., J.E. Walsh (2004), Synoptic-scale influences of snow cover and soil frost on weather in Alaska during spring, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 77, 77-105.
Polyakov, I.V., G.V. Alekseev, L.A. Timokhov, U.S. Bhatt, R.L. Colony, H.L. Simmons, D. Walsh, J.E. Walsh, V.F. Zakharov (2004), Variability of the intermediate Atlantic Water of the Arctic Ocean over the last 100 years, Journal of Climate, 17(23), 4485-4497.
Sazonova, T.S., V.E. Romanovsky, J.E. Walsh, D.O. Sergueev (2004), Permafrost dynamics in the 20th and 21st centuries along the East-Siberian transect, Journal of Geophysical Research, 109, D01108, doi:10: 1029/2003JD003680.
Wang, J., B. Wu, C.C.L. Tang, J.E. Walsh, M. Ikeda (2004), Seesaw structure of subsurface temperature anomalies between the Barents Sea and the Labrador Sea, Geophysical Research Letters, 31, L19301, doi: 10.1029/2004GL019981.
Wu, B., J. Wang, J.E. Walsh (2004), Possible feedback of winter sea ice in the Greenland and Barents Seas on the local atmosphere, Monthly Weather Review, 132(7), 1868-1876.
Zhang, X., J.E. Walsh, J. Zhang, U.S. Bhatt, M. Ikeda (2004), Climatology and Interannual Variability of Arctic Cyclone Activity, 1948-2002, Journal of Climate, 17, 2300-2317.
Zhang, X., J.E. Walsh, J. Zhang, U.S. Bhatt, M. Ikeda (2004), Intensifying Arctic cylone activity, Bulletin of the American Meteorlological Society, 85, 949-950, summary in Papers of Note, invited.
Alexander, M.A., U.S. Bhatt, J.E. Walsh, M.S. Timlin, J.S. Miller, J.D. Scott (2003), The atmospheric response to realistic Arctic sea ice anomalies in an AGCM. Part I: Winter, Journal of Climate.
Overland, J.E., J. Calder, F. Fetterer, D. McGuire, J. Morison, J. Richter-Menge, N. Soreide, J.E. Walsh (2003), SEARCH Workshop on Large-Scale Atmosphere/Cryosphere Observations, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 84, 1077-1082.
Tilley, J., J.E. Walsh, U.S. Bhatt, N. Mölders, S.A. Vavrus (2003), Arctic atmospheric and system modeling: A survey of IARC-related activities, Tohoku Geophysical Journal, 36, 397-409.
Walsh, J.E., M.S. Timlin (2003), Northern Hemisphere sea ice simulations by global climate models, Polar Research, 22, 75-82.
Zhang, X., M. Ikeda, J.E. Walsh (2003), Coordinated changes of sea ice over the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas: regional and seasonal perspectives, Polar Research, 22, 83-90.
Zhang, X., M. Ikeda, J.E. Walsh (2003), Arctic sea ice and freshwater changes driven by the atmospheric leading mode in a coupled sea ice/ocean model, Journal of Climate, 16, 2159-2177.
Polyakov, I.V., S.-I. Akasofu, U.S. Bhatt, R.L. Colony, M. Ikeda, A.P. Makshtas, C. Swingley, D. Walsh, J.E. Walsh (2002), Trends and variations of arctic climate system, EOS, 83(47), 547-548.
Walsh, J.E., V.M. Kattsov, W.L. Chapman, V.A. Govorkova, T. Pavlova (2002), Comparison of Arctic climate simulations in uncoupled and coupled global climate models, Journal of Climate, 15, 1429-1146.
Rauber, R.M., J.E. Walsh, F.S. Chapin III, T. Osterkamp, M. Dyurgerov, W. Oechel, J. Morison, T. Zhang, R.G. Barry (2000), Observational evidence of recent change in the northern high-latitude environment, Climate Change, 46, 159-207.

Other Selected Publications

Rauber, R. M., J. E. Walsh and D. J. Charlevoix, 2002: Severe and Hazardous Weather. Kendall-Hunt, 612 pp.
Serreze, M. C., J. E. Walsh, F. S. Chapin III, T. Osterkamp, M. Dyurgerov, W. Oechel, J. Morison, T. Zhang and R. G. Barry, 2000: Observational evidence of recent change in the northern high-latitude environment. Climatic Change, 46, 159-207.
Walsh, J. E., V. M. Kattsov, D. Portis and V. Meleshko, 1998: Arctic precipitation and evaporation: Model results and observational estimates. J. Climate, 11, 72-87.
Zhang, Z., M. Ikeda and J. E. Walsh, Arctic sea ice and freshwater fluxes driven by the atmospheric leading mode in a coupled sea ice/ocean model. J. Climate, 16, in press.
Polyakov, I. S.-I. Akasofu, U. Bhatt, R. Colony, M. Ikeda, A. Makshtas, C. Swingley, D. Walsh and J. E. Walsh, 2002: Trends and variations in the Arctic climate system. EOS, Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union, 83, 547-548.
Walsh, J. E., and W. L. Chapman, 1998: Arctic cloud-radiation-temperature associations in observational data and observational reanalyses. J. Climate, 11, 3030-3045.
Walsh, J. E., W. L. Chapman and T. L. Shy, 1996: Recent decrease of sea level pressure in the central Arctic. J. Climate, 9. 480-486.